Campaign 08 By the Numbers

According to an analyst on CBS News, Hilary Clinton is going to get the democratic presidential nomination UNLESS she does something seriously VERY wrong until the primaries. As far as the republican presidential nomination? It looks like its a two man race between Giuliani and Romney.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/11/01/opinion/main3440351.shtml

Although polls can be misleading, he did develop some interesting conclusions!! Even though some supporters of Edwards and Obama say that just because they aren't in the lead in October, it doesn't mean they can't win the nomination all together.

However, when considering Hilary's size of advantage, she has a lead double that of her closest competitor.

CNN's latest poll says Hilary is at 51%, Barack is at 21% and Edwards is at 15%. She is even ahead in all the polls in EVERY state.Could this mean we could have a WOMAN in the whitehouse!?!

In addition to this her support appears to be relatively solid. The CNN poll said, 64% of her supporters strongly favor her candidacy. In the past few months she has gained a growing advantage among young voters, college-educated women and upper income voters. Some voters in Obama's electoral base have even said they are shifting to Clinton.

Interesting... it seems like she must be doing SOMETHING right!

It seems that Obama has about 20-30% of voters to win over in order to catch up with his female rival because Edwards seems to be falling out of the runnings.

On the republican end, things are more close. It appears that Fred Thompson's candidacy hasn't really taken off yet. At this point, if he fails to win South Carolina, it will most likely become a two man race. It looks like the pressure is on!!

McCain appears to be lacking the money and the republican base to win. Meanwhile Giuliani appears to have the lead in the larger voting states such as Florida, California, and New York. According to the polls, Romney's support is far from solid as compared to those supporters backing Giuliani and McCaine. The only thing that could could really hurt Giuliani is if his rivals begin running negative ads against him.

Only time will tell what will happen, but things are starting to shape up early, and I'm getting pretty excited to think about having a lady in there and I'm getting pretty curious to see what will happen. Maybe we'll have a FIRST MAN?

Even though the polls are beginning to put Hilary and Giuliani in the boxing ring, these polls don't tell us TOO much other than the enormous gender gap that seems to be developing. Men favored Giuliani by 50-38%, while women favored Clinton by 58-33%.

Despite these conclusions, in the end I think Giuliani would be the strongest matchup for Clinton. In addition to this I think Clinton could truthfully take over the white house under one condition. If she can prove to the men of America she is strong enough to be the President of the United States, and if she can prove that she is friendly and not coldhearted. If she can be a tough, nice guy, I mean girl, then she could really make history.